National Equivalent Vote 2024. This is an estimate of the share of the vote that the principal parties would have won if, across britain as a whole, voters had behaved in the same way as those who did vote. When do the key results come in?

Rallings and thrasher’s estimate of the national equivalent vote (nev) for the sunday times in 2021 put them at 40%, ten points ahead of labour, with the liberal democrats coming third at 15%. Use our interactive poll tracker to check the latest trends measuring how people say they intend to vote.